TY  - BOOK
AU  - Hildebrand,David K.
AU  - Laing,James D.
AU  - Rosenthal,Howard
TI  - Prediction analysis of cross classifications
SN  - 0471395757
AV  - QA279.2 .H54
U1  - 519.5'4 
PY  - 1977///
CY  - New York
PB  - Wiley
KW  - Prediction theory
N1  - Includes indexes; Bibliography: p. 294-299
N2  - Without acknowledging the paradigm difference between testing theory and predicting events, researchers in the field of management and organization continue to use the DEL-technique as a promising technique to evaluate theory based on cross-classification data analysis. We address the purpose and interpretation of the DEL-measure within the theory-testing and events-predicting paradigm. We argue that DEL, a proportionate reduction in error measure, is not to be interpreted in terms of the proportionate error reduction of knowing a prediction rule over not knowing it. In addition, a significant DEL-value is not to be interpreted as a dependence-measure of acceptance of a hypothesis as the only and best relationship between two categorical variables, just as a non-significant DEL-value cannot be interpreted as a measure of independence. Furthermore, an alternative proportionate reduction in error measure generates unequivocally interpretable results compared to the DEL-technique.
ER  -